Archive for the Week #9 Picks Category

Week #9 Picks Recap… 2-3 on the week. (Season Record: 7-3)

Posted in Week #9 Picks on November 8, 2011 by robertdunn22

 I feel like a “sucker” (pun intended) after this week. Went 2-3 which isn’t horrendous, ah what am I saying, it’s rubbish. Garbage, because the losses were blowouts and not even close to the spread. As I said, we were going to find out who are “Contenders” and who are “Pretenders”. The Raiders are pretenders. The Falcons are contenders. The Chiefs are pretenders. The Bills are “No Comment”. And Picks 2 Click is… Still 7-3 through 2 weeks, so the jury is out. On to the recap…

Game #1: San Francisco – 19. Washington – 11. Spread was SF by 3.5. Won. This one wasn’t as close as the score. The Niner’s displayed their top notch defense once again moving to 7-1, and the Redskins, well, “They are who we thought they were!” The Skin’s suck…Not toe’s though! San Fran was efficient behind Alex Smith’s 17-24 for 200 yards, 1 TD, no picks. Gore grinded out 100 plus yards again for the 5th straight week. John Beck’s favorite target was RB Roy Helu. Who?…Yah that’s a problem when your Running Back gets 14 catches out of the backfield. Dinking and dunking won’t work against an elite defense in the NFL, unless you have Marshall Faulk and Barry Sanders in the same backfield.

Game #2: Atlanta – 31. Indy – 7. Spread was ATL by 7. Won. Oh I am starting to feel bad for the Colt’s. Imagine how those players must feel on that team knowing that they can hardly compete without Manning. Manning may look more like a Cattle Rancher than an NFL Quarterback, but I won’t stop giving him praise (And I won’t quit picking against Indy). They can’t run the ball, stop the run, and couldn’t even air it out this week (103 passing yards). Atlanta out-gained them 432 to 186, and this spread was covered early in the 2nd quarter after two deep Julio Jones bomb’s. That dude can play. Vegas fell asleep on this line. There is something they don’t like about Atlanta and I am not quite sure what that is. See: Next game: Atlanta vs. New Orleans. Line: Pick Em’ in Atlanta. Should be 3…I think.

Game #3: Miami – 31. Kansas Shitty – 3. Spread was KC by 4. Lost. This one was fool’s gold. The score was a blowout, but the numbers don’t look half as bad. They nearly had the same total yardage (351-343), and neither team turned the ball over. Where Kansas City hurt themselves was protecting QB Matt Cassel. He went down 5 times, and was under pressure all day long. I said Miami had an under-rated defense and they proved me right in this one. Reggie Bush finally broke out for 142 total yards on 16 touches and a TD. (I wonder if Kim was watching…Or maybe she was sleeping in at his hotel. Hmm…that could explain it). Karlos Dansby led the way with 11 tackles for the Dolphins D, and Tony Sparano out-coached Haley in this one. Complete and utter fool’s gold. Kansas City is done.

Game #4: Denver – 38. Oakland – 24. Spread was Oakland by 7. Lost. How can I avoid praising Tebow in this one? Well, I could start with Oakland choked away a 17-7 halftime lead thanks to the help of three Palmer INT’s…Or I could blame it on the Raiders run defense giving up 299 yards rushing much to the displeasure of Richard Seymour on the sideline’s yapping at his fellow D-Liner’s. Fine, I’ll give him some credit. He handed the ball off to Willis Mc Gahee with Jesus-esque grace 20 times for 163 yards…He also picked up 118 on his own on 12 carries. I still don’t think this guy can be a starting NFL QB for a legit NFL team, but if I had him as my back-up I sure would use him at times for 3rd down conversions and on the goal-line. He can run the ball, and has that will to move the chains. This was not a smart bet. Palmer is clearly rusty, and they had no Darren Mc Fadden. Just a bad bad pick.

Game #5. NYJ – 27. Buffalo – 11. Spread was Buffalo by 2. Lost. Jets Jets Jets! Yada yada yada. FML FML FML! Now that I got that out, where to start with this one? Simple. Rex Ryan and the bye week. The Jet’s defense more than schemed the Bill’s offense. I believe they had a copy of their playbook. Perhaps LB Aaron Maybin (6th pick in the 2009 draft whom the Bills cut about 2 months ago) burned a copy. He now starts for the Jet’s in their nickel package. Just a little frustrating to say the least…The score was 3-0 Jets at halftime as both teams just couldn’t get it going. A big kickoff return by Joe McKnight led to another field goal, and a quick ensuing turnover led to 7 for the Jets and a 13-0 lead. The Bills abandoned the run, and Freddy Jackson only was able to get 18 carries, although he did amass 82 yards, and 38 receiving. They had some chances, but just couldn’t execute versus Ryan’s blitz/man-to-man happy defense. The Jet’s controlled the ball for 38 minutes to 22 for the Bills, and kept the chains going with an efficient game plan. Both teams are now locked up at 5-3…along with New England. Dare I say again…A must win game for Buffalo 11/27 @ New York? Sure is.

I’m feeling better about the potential in Week #10. Learned a vital lesson this week…Pick winners, not losers. Noted it to self.

Week #9 Picks 2 Click

Posted in Week #9 Picks on November 3, 2011 by robertdunn22

 The much-anticipated Week #9 is almost here. Time to find out if a few teams are pretender’s or actual contender’s…As well as myself coming off a 5-0 week. I said last week that I have only one rule, which was, “Nothing is a lock”. I lied. I have a new rule, and I will add a new rule every week. This weeks rule is, “There is no such thing as a trap game”.

Game #1: San Francisco @ Washington. Spread: SF-3.5. Imagine that, right off the bat…A trap game. Wrong! No such thing. The Redskins got shut out last week in Toronto vs. Buffalo 23-0, while the Niners took care of business and beat the Browns 20-10 at home. They didn’t play great, but Cleveland is scrappy and surprisingly not awful, especially against the run. Although, Frank Gore did get it cooking for his fourth straight 100 yard rushing game after a shaky start to the season. The Niners defense continues to be legit, and if the Redskins couldn’t move the ball on Buffalo, they will find it equally challenging versus Frisco. Jim Harbaugh is fired up, has Alex Smith playing efficient ball, and a defensive squad boasting with swagger. On the other sideline, Mike Shanahan looks unmotivated, pacing like a disgruntled post office worker, and is down to his second string QB, RB, and WR. Don’t over-think it. This one shouldn’t be close. San Francisco – 23. Washington – 9.

Game #2: Denver @ Oakland. Spread: Oakland -8. Oh come on, I had to pick this one. Not so I can rag on the “Messiah” again. I will let Raider Nation do that on Sunday. Yahhh…Might need a few extra body guards for this one. #Justsayin. Run DMC is still on crutches as of today, as he struggled in the parking lot of the stadium upon arrival (Twitter told me that). But I am not sure I care. He has a solid back-up in Michael Bush, and the bye week couldn’t have come at a better time for the newly acquired Carson Palmer and company. WR TJ Houshmandzadeh also recently signed this week with the Raiders, giving them and Palmer a familiar weapon (Well more like a rubber sling shot) in the slot. Quite frankly the Bronco’s are terrible, and I don’t see them moving the ball much with Tim Tebow at the helm. Expect a disastrous first half, and perhaps a Kyle Orton Brady Quinn sighting in the 2nd half rallying them to a late touchdown. 3 too few. Oakland – 33. Denver – 13.

Game #3: Atlanta @ Indianapolis. Spread: Atlanta -7. Lets just be frank on this one. I am going to bet against Sans Manning Inc. until they prove me otherwise. Especially against the re-discovered Hotlanta Falcons in a dome. The Dirty Birds are coming off two quality wins versus Carolina and Detroit, and will be fresh off a bye. They have hopefully discovered their key to success…More Michael Turner. I mean the guy is a load…He has thighs the size of Kris Humphries torso, and an ass the size of Kimberly. Too soon? We all over that heartbreaking story yet? Really though, the guy is a freight train. Couple that with a healthy Roddy White and Julio Jones,and the Colts are in trouble. Atlanta sits at 4-3, and is my sleeper for getting back into the playoff picture and eventually winning the NFC South. The Falcon’s host New Orleans at home next week, so they will definitely be looking to take some momentum into that one. The Colts are 0-4 against the spread in their last 4. This might be a game your Grandma could justify betting on…(“Hey Sonny! There’s a bag of them fifty cent coins in the top drawer of my armoire…Yes those…I’ve saved em’ up from the 4 months I worked before your Dad was born back in ’55. Bet on Matty Ice and the Falcons for me…And don’t tell Papa, I’ll split the winnings with you…”) Atlanta – 34. Indy – 10

Game #4: Miami @ Kansas City. Spread: KC -4. The tomahawk chop was in full force Halloween night versus San Diego. Yes, KC got a little help in that one. A minor miracle victory right? Hardly. Phillip and Norv choked…again. What’s new?  I’ll tell ya what’s not new…The Chiefs covering spreads. They have covered 5 straight, while the Dolphin’s are 2-5 against the spread on the season. The Dolphins played some inspired football last week vs. NYG searching for their first win. They had the G Men on the ropes, but couldn’t pull off a Mayweather sucker punch. The Dolphin’s are 0-4 on the road…and 0-3 at home…(One second…I was an Accounting major, I got this…). 0-7. The Dolphin’s are bad. Real bad. Don’t sugar coat it. Matt Moore was hardly a force when he played in the Pac 10, errr, 12 for the University of Oregon’s little brother. Now he’s gonna waltz into Arrowhead Stadium and knock off the winners of four straight? Reggie Bush looks more clueless running between the tackles than Rick Perry does giving a speech(Might wanna work on that pal). I’ll give Miami this. They might possibly have the most underrated defense in the NFL. They can play football. Oh no, I’m convincing myself that this is a “trap game”. BS! Shake yourself! Kansas City – 24. Miami – 16

Game #5: New York Jets @ Buffalo. Spread: Buffalo –1.5. In losing twice to the Jet’s last year, the Bill’s were outscored 76-21 and out-rushed 549-151. Wow. Luckily that was last year, both for Buffalo and for Rex Ryan’s pedicurist, as he was likely slaving over game film in the Jet’s bye week figuring out how he is going to slow down Fred Jackson, and not pampering his disgusting feet (I mean they gotta be nasty right?) The Bills are 4-0 at home, and the Jet’s are win-less on the road (0-3). I tried hard to stay away from this game, but it’s perhaps the game of the year for both teams. Revis Island said so on behalf of his 4-3 Jet’s. I say so on behalf of the 5-2 Bills. This is a must-win game for both, and a game likely both teams will look back on 2 months from now when the playoffs begin …(“Don’t talk about playoffs, PLAYOFFS!!?, Are you kidding me…PLAYOFFS!!!? I just hope we can win a game!…Another game.”) The Bills possess the better running game, and passing game. They forced the likes of Tom Brady and Michael Vick into 4 interceptions each. I expect a few this week from Dirty, errr, Mark Sanchez, especially coming off the Bills 10 sack (“I got 5 on it” – Luniz, 1994) performance last week. Bills – 27. Jets – 20.

This week’s goal is 4-1 again. Slightly greedy, but Ima looking and Ima liking. Good Night and Good Luck!